Presidential election, 2024

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
2024 Presidential Election
Date: November 5, 2024
White House Logo.png

Presidential candidates
Democratic Party Joe Biden (D)
Republican Party Donald Trump (R)
Libertarian Party Chase Oliver (L)
Grey.png Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I)

List of registered candidatesElectoral CollegePrediction marketsPresidential debatesImportant datesPresidential election by stateCampaign financeLogos and slogansKey staffersVice presidential candidatesPolicy positionsBallotpedia's presidential election coverage index
Democratic nomination
Democratic National Convention, 2024Delegate rules

Republican nomination
Republican National Convention, 2024Delegate rulesCampaign travelDebates

Minor party nominations
Green PartyLibertarian PartyBallot access

Ballotpedia's presidential election coverage
202420202016

The United States will hold a presidential election on November 5, 2024. This will be the 60th presidential election in United States history, and the first to be held after the reallocation of electoral college votes following the 2020 redistricting cycle.[1] The winner of the 2024 presidential election will be sworn into office on January 20, 2025.

Joe Biden (D) and Donald Trump (R) became the presumptive Democratic and Republican nominees on March 12, 2024. The Democratic Party will make an official presidential nomination at the Democratic National Convention in August 2024, and the Republican Party will make an official presidential nomination at the Republican National Convention in July 2024.

Click here for more information about the 2020 presidential election.

Click the links below to navigate to:

Upcoming dates

See also: Important dates in the 2024 presidential race


This section is updated weekly on Fridays, and provides dates upcoming in the next two weeks.




Notable declared candidates and exploratory committees

See also: Defining noteworthy presidential candidates (2024), How we order candidate lists

The following noteworthy candidates have filed to run for president with the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Click here to view a full list of all candidates who have filed with the FEC.


List of noteworthy candidates

  • Joe Biden (D), incumbent president of the United States, announced he would run for re-election on April 25, 2023.[3]
  • Donald Trump (R), former U.S. President, announced his candidacy on November 15, 2022.[4]
  • Chase Oliver presidential campaign, 2024 (Libertarian Party), a candidate in the 2022 Georgia U.S. Senate race, announced his candidacy on April 4, 2023.[5]
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I), an author and lawyer, announced he would run as an independent on October 9, 2023. He initially announced a campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination on April 5, 2023.[6]


Other candidates

Withdrawn candidates

  • Dean Phillips (D), a U.S. representative from Minnesota, announced his candidacy on October 26, 2023. He withdrew from the race on March 6, 2024.[10][11]
  • Marianne Williamson (D), 2020 presidential candidate and author, announced her candidacy on February 23, 2023.[12] She withdrew from the race on February 7, 2024, and re-entered the race on February 28.[13][14] Williamson withdrew from the race again on June 11, 2024.[15]
  • Ryan Binkley (R), a businessman and pastor, announced his candidacy on April 23, 2023.[16] Binkley withdrew from the race on February 27, 2024.[17]
  • Doug Burgum (R), the governor of North Dakota, announced his candidacy on June 7, 2023.[18] Burgum withdrew from the race on December 4, 2023.[19]
  • Chris Christie (R), former governor of New Jersey, announced his candidacy on June 6, 2023.[20] Christie withdrew from the race on January 10, 2024.[21]
  • Ron DeSantis (R), the governor of Florida, announced his candidacy on May 24, 2023.[22] DeSantis withdrew from the race on January 21, 2024.[23]
  • Nikki Haley (R), former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina Governor, announced her candidacy on February 14, 2023. She withdrew from the race on March 6, 2024.[24][25]
  • Asa Hutchinson (R), former Arkansas Governor, announced his candidacy on April 2, 2023.[26] Hutchinson withdrew from the race on January 16, 2024.[27]
  • Larry Elder (R), a talk radio host and 2021 California gubernatorial candidate, announced his candidacy on April 20, 2023.[28] Elder suspended his campaign on October 26, 2023.
  • Will Hurd (R), former U.S. Representative from Texas, announced his candidacy on June 22, 2023.[29] Hurd suspended his campaign on October 9, 2023.[30]
  • Perry Johnson (R), a business owner and author, announced his candidacy on March 2, 2023.[31] Johnson suspended his campaign on October 20, 2023.[32]
  • Mike Pence (R), former vice president of the United States, announced his candidacy on June 7, 2023.[33] Pence withdrew from the race on October 28, 2023.[34]
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (R), entrepreneur and political commentator, announced his candidacy on February 21, 2023.[35] Vivek withdrew from the race on January 15, 2024.[36]
  • Tim Scott (R), a United States senator from South Carolina, announced his candidacy on May 22, 2023.[37] Scott withdrew from the race on November 12, 2023.[38]
  • Corey Stapleton (R), former Montana Secretary of State, announced his candidacy on November 11, 2022.[39] Stapleton withdrew from the race on October 13, 2023.[40]
  • Francis Suarez (R), the Mayor of Miami, announced his candidacy on June 15, 2023.[41] Suarez suspended his campaign on August 29, 2023.[42]

To view a list of politicians and public figures discussed in the media as potential candidates, click here.

Presidential election competitiveness

Race ratings

The map below displays presidential race ratings in each state. These ratings are generated by averaging the ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean and Tilt ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[43][44][45]

Polling

The section below displays national polling averages for the 2024 presidential election from RealClearPolitics.

Prediction markets

The section below displays national PredictIt share prices and RealClearPolitics prediction market averages for the 2024 presidential election.

What is a prediction market?

Prediction markets allow users to purchase shares relating to the outcome of events using real money. Each event, such as an election, has a number of contracts associated with it, each correlating to a different outcome. For instance, an election contested between four candidates would be represented by eight separate contracts, with each contract correlating to a particular candidate winning or losing the election.

The share price in each individual forecast rises and falls based on market demand. Once the event's outcome is decided, holders of shares that correlate with the correct outcome receive a payout for each share they held.

For example, a user buys 10 shares at 20 cents each in a presidential primary saying Candidate A will win. If Candidate A wins the election, the user earns $10. If the candidate loses, the user earns no money and loses his original $2 investment.

Why do prediction markets matter?

Prediction markets can be used to gain insight into the outcome of elections. Microsoft Research economist David Rothschild argued that they are better suited to the task than polls: "I can create a poll that can mimic everything about a prediction market...except markets have a way of incentivizing you to come back at 2 a.m. and update your answer."[46][47][48]

PredictIt


The chart below shows 2024 presidential general election open share prices over time.[49]

RealClearPolitics prediction market averages


Campaign finance

See also: Presidential election campaign finance, 2024


Fundraising

The following chart displays noteworthy general election presidential candidates' overall fundraising over time through the May 2024 campaign finance reports. Note that the chart only displays data for principal campaign committees, not candidate-affiliated PACs or joint fundraising committees. Hover over each line for more specific figures.

Spending

The following chart displays noteworthy general election presidential candidates' overall spending over time through the May 2024 campaign finance reports. Note that the chart only displays data for principal campaign committees, not candidate-affiliated PACs or joint fundraising committees. Hover over each line for more specific figures.

Cash on hand

The following chart displays cash on hand—a measurement of how much money a campaign has currently available in its campaign accounts—for noteworthy general election presidential candidates as of each reporting deadline during the 2024 campaign cycle. Note that the chart only displays data for principal campaign committees, not candidate-affiliated PACs or joint fundraising committees.

General election debates

See also: Presidential debates, 2024

The following table provides an overview of the date, location, and host in each scheduled 2024 general election debate.

2024 general election debates
Debate Date Location Host
First presidential debate June 27, 2024 Atlanta, Georgia CNN
Second presidential debate September 10, 2024 TBD ABC News


Policy positions

See also: Presidential candidates on the issues, 2024

Click on any of the following links to read statements from the 2024 presidential candidates on a range of domestic, economic, and foreign policy issues. These statements were primarily compiled from each candidate's official campaign website.

Abortion

Administrative state

Coronavirus response

Criminal justice

Economy

Education

Election policy

Energy and environmental issues

Environmental, social, and corporate governance (ESG)

Federalism

Foreign policy

Government ethics

Gun regulation

Healthcare

Sex and gender issues

Immigration

Impeachment

Infrastructure

Opioids and drug issues

Trade

Veterans


Presidential election key staff

See also: Presidential election key staffers, 2024

Campaign staff plays an important role in presidential elections. The makeup of a candidate's staff can signal the strength of their support from influential party activists and whether they are aligning with a particular faction or group within the party. Eric Appleman of Democracy in Action describes candidates' efforts to hire staffers as a "race for talent, both nationally and in key early states." He adds, "The goal is to assemble a team of top talent that can work together effectively to mobilize resources, boost the candidate and his or her message, and ultimately secure the party's nomination."[50]

Presidential candidates will typically have a national staff, which is overseen by a campaign manager and assisted by political consultants, senior advisors, professional polling firms, and key stakeholders such as interest group leaders and major financial supporters. They also build organizations in individual states that are overseen by state directors and staffed by party activists and political professionals well-versed in the particular politics of the area. Candidates often appoint elected officials and other important figures in their party's coalition as chairs of their national campaign and state-level campaigns.[50]

Click here for an overview of key staff by presidential campaign.

Timeline of campaign announcements

Electoral College

See also: Electoral College in the 2024 presidential election

The Electoral College is the process by which the states and District of Columbia elect the president of the United States. Each state is represented by a number of electors equal to the size of its congressional delegation. There are 538 electors in total. To win the Electoral College, a candidate must receive a majority—at least 270—electoral votes.[51]

Thirteen states gained or lost electoral votes following the 2020 Census:[52]

  • Texas gained two votes.
  • Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon each gained one.
  • California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia each lost one.

Although there is no constitutional provision or federal law requiring electors to vote in accordance with the election results in their state, electors typically vote for their state's popular vote winner. Some states have provisions permitting the disqualification and replacement of an elector whose vote deviates from the state's popular vote. There were no faithless electors in 2020.[53]

The following map shows the number of electoral votes per state in the 2024 presidential election.

Democratic presidential primary

See also: Democratic presidential nomination, 2024

The Democratic Party will select its presidential nominee during a virtual roll call held before the in-person 2024 Democratic National Convention, which will take place from August 19-22, 2024, in Chicago, Illinois.[54] Joe Biden (D) crossed the majority delegate threshold necessary to win the Democratic nomination on March 12, 2024, making him the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Prior to the national convention, individual state caucuses and primaries are held to allocate convention delegates. To read more about the 2024 primary schedule click here. These delegates, along with superdelegates who come from the party leadership, will vote at the virtual roll call to select the nominee.

Estimated delegate allocation

This section displays an overview of estimated Democratic delegate allocation.

Democratic presidential primaries 2024
 
Candidate
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Official_portrait_of_Vice_President_Joe_Biden.jpg
Joe Biden 3,894
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/DEAN_PHILLIPS_RESIZE.jpg
Dean Phillips 4
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/palmer24pres.jpg
Jason Palmer 3

Total pledged delegates: 3,901

Democratic primary debates

The Democratic Party said it did not plan to hold presidential primary debates.

Campaign finance in the Democratic presidential primary

The following charts display noteworthy Democratic primary candidates' overall fundraising through the May 2024 monthly campaign finance reports. Note that the chart only displays data for principal campaign committees, not candidate-affiliated PACs or joint fundraising committees. The charts below include campaign finance reports beginning at the point the FEC started classifying the committee as a presidential candidate's principal campaign finance committee and ending after candidates withdrew from the primary.

Republican presidential primary

See also: Republican presidential nomination, 2024

The Republican Party will select its presidential nominee at the 2024 Republican National Convention, which will take place in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, from July 15-18, 2024. Before the convention, each state, Washington, D.C., and five U.S. territories will hold a primary, caucus, or convention to decide how to allocate delegates at the national convention. These nominating events typically begin in February of an election year, though 2024 primary dates are still uncertain.

The Republican National Committee began holding primary debates in August 2023, with the first debate taking place in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.[55]

Donald Trump (R) crossed the majority delegate threshold necessary to win the Republican nomination on March 12, 2024, making him the presumptive Republican nominee.


Estimated delegate allocation

This section displays an overview of estimated Republican delegate allocation.

Republican presidential primaries 2024
 
Candidate
Pledged delegates
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/473px-Official_Portrait_of_President_Donald_Trump.jpg
Donald Trump 2,260
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Nikki_Haley_official_Transition_portrait.jpg
Nikki Haley 97
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/Ron_DeSantis__Official_Portrait__113th_Congress-7_fixed.jpg
Ron DeSantis 9
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/ramaswamy24.jpg
Vivek Ramaswamy 3

Total pledged delegates: 2,369

Republican primary debates

See also: Republican presidential primary debates, 2024

The following table provides an overview of the date, location, host, and number of participants in each scheduled 2024 Republican presidential primary debate.

2024 Republican presidential primary debates
Debate Date Location Host Number of participants
First Republican primary debate August 23, 2023 Milwaukee, Wisconsin[56] Fox News[57] 8
Second Republican primary debate September 27, 2023 Simi Valley, California[58] Fox Business, Univision 7
Third Republican primary debate November 8, 2023 Miami, Florida[59] NBC News, Salem Radio Network 5
Fourth Republican primary debate December 6, 2023 Tuscaloosa, Alabama[60] NewsNation, The Megyn Kelly Show, the Washington Free Beacon 4
On December 7, 2023, CNN reported the RNC would lift its ban on non-RNC sanctioned debates.[61]
Fifth Republican primary debate January 10, 2024 Des Moines, Iowa[61] CNN 2
Sixth Republican primary debate January 18, 2024 Manchester, New Hampshire[62] ABC News, WMUR-TV, New Hampshire Republican State Committee Cancelled
Seventh Republican primary debate January 21, 2024 Goffstown, New Hampshire[61] CNN Cancelled

Campaign finance in the Republican presidential primary

See also: Presidential election campaign finance, 2024

The following charts display noteworthy Republican primary candidates' overall fundraising through the May 2024 monthly campaign finance reports. Note that the charts only display data for principal campaign committees, not candidate-affiliated PACs or joint fundraising committees. The charts below include campaign finance reports beginning at the point the FEC starts classifying the committee as a presidential candidate's principal campaign finance committee, and ending after the campaign withdrew from the primary.


Endorsements in the Republican presidential primary

See also: Presidential election endorsements, 2024

The following chart shows the total number of noteworthy endorsements each Republican presidential candidate has received.

Presidential election results by party, 1900-2020

See also: Presidential voting history by state

This table lists presidential election results by party for each state in every presidential election held between 1900 and 2020.


See also

Presidential election, 2016-2024
Use the dropdown menu below to navigate Ballotpedia's historical coverage of presidential elections.
Additional reading




Footnotes

  1. 270 to Win, "Historical Presidential Elections," accessed January 17, 2023
  2. The filing deadline was estimated based on the Idaho Republican Party rule that said, "For a candidate to be placed on the official ballot for the Idaho Republican Presidential Caucus, he or she shall submit a $50,000.00 filing fee and declaration of candidacy to the Idaho Republican Party no later than 90 days prior to the caucus date."
  3. YouTube, "Joe Biden Launches His Campaign For President: Let's Finish the Job," April 25, 2023
  4. The New York Times, "Trump, ignoring the midterms’ verdict on him, announces a 2024 run, November 15, 2022"
  5. Twitter, "Chase Oliver on April 4, 2023," accessed October 4, 2023
  6. Associated Press, "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will run for president as an independent and drop his Democratic primary bid," accessed October 9, 2023
  7. Twitter, "Stein on November 9, 2023," accessed November 9, 2023
  8. Constitution Party, "Randall Terry Wins The Constitution Party Nomination On The First Ballot," accessed May 9, 2024
  9. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named west
  10. The New York Times, "Dean Phillips Will Run Against Biden," October 26, 2023
  11. Twitter, "Phillips on March 6, 2024," accessed March 6, 2024
  12. The Hill, "Marianne Williamson confirms she will run for president in 2024," February 23, 2023
  13. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named marianneout
  14. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named marianneback
  15. X, "Williamson on June 11, 2024," accessed June 13, 2024
  16. The Hill, "Ryan Binkley, Texas CEO and pastor, announces 2024 Republican presidential run," April 24, 2023
  17. Twitter, "Binkley on February 27, 2024," accessed February 27, 2024
  18. AP, "In Fargo, North Dakota, Gov. Doug Burgum jumps into crowded Republican race for president," June 7, 2023
  19. NBC News, "Doug Burgum suspends presidential campaign," December 4, 2023
  20. The New York Times, "Chris Christie Formally Enters ’24 Race, as He Takes Square Aim at Trump," June 6, 2023
  21. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named christiedown
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Statement of Organization," accessed May 24, 2023
  23. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ronout
  24. Twitter, "Nikki Haley on February 14, 2023," accessed February 14, 2023
  25. USA Today, "Nikki Haley speech livestream: Watch Republican deliver remarks as she drops out of 2024 race," March 6, 2024
  26. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named asa
  27. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named asamentumend
  28. Associated Press, "Larry Elder announces bid for 2024 Republican presidential nomination," April 20, 2023
  29. CBS News, "Republican Will Hurd announces he's running for president," June 22, 2023
  30. NPR, "Former Texas Rep. Will Hurd suspends GOP 2024 presidential bid, endorses Nikki Haley," October 10, 2023
  31. AP, "Businessman Perry Johnson announces 2024 presidential bid," March 3, 2023
  32. Twitter, "Johnson on October 20, 2023," accessed October 20, 2023
  33. YouTube, "Mike Pence officially announces 2024 presidential bid," June 7, 2023
  34. CBS News, "Former Vice President Mike Pence drops out of 2024 presidential race," October 31, 2023
  35. Politico, "Vivek Ramaswamy announces he will run for president," February 21, 2023
  36. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named vivekout
  37. C-SPAN, "Sen. Tim Scott Announces Presidential Campaign," May 22, 2023
  38. The New York Times, "Tim Scott Suspends ’24 Campaign, as His Sunny Message Failed to Resonate," accessed November 12, 2023
  39. CBS 17, "Former Montana Secretary of State Corey Stapleton Says 'Pay It Forward', Announces Bid for U.S. President 2024," November 11, 2022
  40. Newswire, "U.S. Presidential Candidate Corey Stapleton Bows Out of Race," October 13, 2023
  41. The Washington Post, "Miami Mayor Francis Suarez announces GOP presidential bid," June 15, 2023
  42. Twitter, "Suarez on August 29, 2023," accessed August 29, 2023
  43. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  44. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  45. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  46. Nature, "The power of prediction markets," October 18, 2016
  47. Politico, "Meet the 'stock market' for politics," October 31, 2014
  48. U.S. Presidential General Election Results, "2008 Electoral Map Based on the Intrade Prediction Market," accessed January 25, 2018
  49. PredictIt, "Who will win the 2024 US presidential election?" accessed December 16, 2022
  50. 50.0 50.1 Democracy in Action, "Building Campaign Organizations (2019)," accessed May 10, 2019
  51. National Archives, "Electoral College," accessed September 3, 2020
  52. 270 to Win, "Census Apportionment Results Released; 13 States See a Change in Congressional Seats," April 26, 2021
  53. National Archives, "Electors," accessed September 3, 2020
  54. ABC News, "DNC to nominate Biden and Harris to bypass Ohio ballot issues," May 28, 2024
  55. The Hill, "RNC votes to hold first presidential debate in Milwaukee," February 23, 2023
  56. The Hill, "RNC votes to hold first presidential debate in Milwaukee," February 23, 2023
  57. Fox News, "Fox News will host first 2024 Republican presidential primary debate in Milwaukee," April 12, 2023
  58. The Hill, "McDaniel announces California will host second GOP debate for 2024," April 20, 2023
  59. Reuters, "Third Republican primary debate to be in Miami in early November," September 14, 2023
  60. Associated Press, "Qualification markers grow even tougher for next month’s 4th GOP presidential debate, in Alabama," November 3, 2023
  61. 61.0 61.1 61.2 CNN, "CNN to host two GOP presidential primary debates in 2024," December 7, 2023
  62. ABC News, "ABC News to host GOP presidential debate before New Hampshire primary," December 7, 2023