Box Office Brawl: Warner Bros Demands Recount From Rivals Paramount & Sony
FRIDAY PM, 2ND UPDATE: My sources are giving me these estimated numbers for the North American box office for today and the Christmas weekend. The latest news is that Fox is suffering another disappointing debut: We Bought A Zoo opened very weak despite heavy TV advertising and two rounds of national sneaks to build word of mouth. You’d think all those animals would have put people in seats. Sure looks as if the Grinch stole Hollywood’s moviegoers overall this weekend. But remember, Christmas Eve always is one of the softest days for filmgoing in the U.S. and Canada, and many international theaters particularly in Europe close early Christmas Eve and on Christmas. Plus, Monday is a U.S. national holiday. “We are basing the ups and downs on 2005 where Xmas fell on a Sunday. So it is still kind of a crap shoot but these are where we think things will shake out,” one exec told me about his studio’s projections. Because of the mid-week openings and expansions, there has been little clarity on whether the entire holiday will bring out moviegoers but Hollywood is wincing at the very real possibility it won’t based on the weakness of the past days’ box office. It should be noted that the following weekend’s grosses containing New Year’s will actually be higher than this weekend’s and lead to much better multiples and totals than usual. Refined numbers and full analysis to come:
Latest Top 10 (order determined by Friday’s gross)
1. Mission: Impossible: Ghost Protocol (Paramount) Week 2 [3,448 Theaters]
Debuted Friday December 16 in limited release; Expanded Tuesday night December 20; Officially went wide Wednesday December 21
Tuesday $1.7M, Wednesday $8.9M (including $2M midnights), Thursday $6.2M, Friday $9.5M
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $20.1M, Estimated 4-day Holiday $37.5M
Estimated Domestic Cume $61.5M, Estimated International Cume $105M
2. Sherlock Holmes: Game Of Shadows (Warner Bros) Week 2 [3,703 Theaters]
Opened wide Friday December 16
Wednesday $4.2M, Thursday $4.8M, Friday $6.5M
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $16.6M (-58%), Estimated 4-Day Holiday $26.7M
Estimated Domestic Cume $83.6M, Estimated International Cume $27.1M
3. Alvin & The Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (Fox) Week 1 [3,726 Theaters]
Opened wide Friday December 16
Wednesday $3.5M, Thursday $3.9M, Friday $5.4M
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $12.2M (-47%), Estimated 4-Day Holiday $21.6M
Estimated Domestic Cume $57.1M
4. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (Sony) NEW [2,914 Theaters]
Debuted Tuesday night December 20; Opened Wednesday December 21
Tuesday $1.6M, Wednesday $5M, Thursday $3.1M, Friday $4.6M
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $12.3M, Estimated 4-Day Holiday $19.2M
Estimated Domestic Cume $26.9M, Estimated International Cume $950K
5. The Adventures Of Tintin (Paramount) NEW [3,087 Theaters]
Opened Wednesday December 21
Wednesday $2.3M, Thursday $2.4M, Friday $3.7M
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $9.3M, Estimated 4-Day Holiday $14.5M
Estimated Domestic Cume $24M, Estimated International Cume (Sony) $241M
6. We Bought A Zoo (Fox) NEW [3,117 Theaters]
Friday $3M,
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $7.9M, Estimated 4-Day Holiday $12.3M
7. New Year’s Eve (Warner Bros) Week 3 [2,585 Theaters]
Friday $1.1M,
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $3.1M, Estimated 4-Day Holiday $4.7M, Cume $34.1M
8. Arthur Christmas (Sony) Week 5 [1,804 Theaters]
Friday $1M,
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $2.5M, Estimated 4-Day Holiday $4.2M
Estimated Cume $45.7M
9. The Muppets (Disney) Week 5 [1,859 Theaters]
Friday $983K,
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $2.3M, Estimated 4-Day Holiday $3.8M
Estimated Cume $77.4M
10) Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 (Summit) Week 6 [1,603 Theaters]
Friday $639K,
Estimated 3-Day Weekend $1.5M, Estimated 4-Day Holiday $2.3M
Estimated Cume $271.1M